Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 115.796382 128.146224 140.857907 154.892372 169.925104 185.516943 202.883597
2024-10-27 94.933418 113.025160 132.612368 155.275723 180.655073 208.081869 239.841522
2024-11-03 82.281951 104.817065 130.360541 161.157699 196.976242 237.021755 284.868963
2024-11-10 71.265902 96.858736 127.147747 165.064812 210.671859 263.183885 327.614456
2024-11-17 62.722621 90.611358 124.963769 169.448073 224.558816 289.640311 371.303461
2024-11-24 56.142418 85.887355 123.904464 174.658244 239.194746 317.094329 416.724327
2024-12-01 46.503856 75.917037 115.090421 169.150215 239.821811 327.101618 440.943375
2024-12-08 39.618358 68.815655 109.233404 166.727251 243.776620 340.869276 469.687733
2024-12-15 35.062496 64.460749 106.597515 168.156909 252.441522 360.486953 505.905021
2024-12-22 31.469807 61.083743 104.942989 170.613843 262.291490 381.629356 544.295093
2024-12-29 29.387919 59.795445 106.110348 176.905201 277.338179 409.723145 592.037736
2025-01-05 27.056806 57.806257 106.003087 181.218759 289.637733 434.318877 635.570711
2025-01-12 23.582862 53.552954 102.213512 180.078122 294.463672 449.332700 667.284195
2025-01-19 20.642902 49.854780 98.972942 179.505899 299.977459 465.334964 700.606103
2025-01-26 19.289716 48.894310 100.037023 185.452189 314.974883 494.569359 752.160963
2025-02-02 17.712177 47.294667 99.887153 189.434113 327.139843 520.074318 799.072175
2025-02-09 16.408336 46.053852 100.206349 194.076827 340.302993 547.122796 848.422634
2025-02-16 15.376952 45.233293 101.160347 199.708914 355.022468 576.569890 901.466399
2025-02-23 12.786222 40.670639 95.098311 193.561935 351.635283 580.147927 918.731862
2025-03-02 10.974876 37.518139 91.288082 190.847976 353.270342 590.781320 945.809828
2025-03-09 9.870207 35.840341 90.078446 192.403601 361.486366 610.987109 986.520972
2025-03-16 8.998603 34.591382 89.576594 195.101662 371.500325 633.921485 1031.343537
2025-03-23 8.624405 34.572239 91.476939 202.031581 388.360571 667.148807 1091.188692